Indian Markets nosedives at close today

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The benchmark Indian stock indices like Bombay Stock Exchange's 30 component large-cap Sensex closed at 17993.33, down 332.76 points. The 30-share index hit a high of 18269.06 in intraday trading today. BSE Midcap Index was down 1.41 percent and BSE Smallcap Index nosedived by 1.57 percent at EOD today.

The broader index National Stock Exchange's Nifty ended at 5386.55, down 99.80 points. The broader index touched intraday low of 5373 in day trade today.

The main reason for this decline is european uncertainity euro-zone debt crisis triggered a sell-off in global equities. Greece's credit rating to B+ while Standard & Poor's cut its outlook on Italy to "negative" from "stable" by one of the rating agency.

All of the sectoral indices also closed in deep red today, BSE Capital Goods Index fell 2.95 percent, BSE Power Index moved 2.91 percent lower, BSE Bankex slipped 2.85 percent and BSE Realty Index declined 2.79 percent. BSE FMCG Index was however up 0.59 percent.

Market breadth was negative on the BSE with 1973 declines as compared to 801 advances.

The rise and rise of BSE SENSEX | NIFTY and Indian Share Markets

hmm long time since i posted the analysis of indian share markets particularly benchmark indices like 30 share index SENSEX and NSE's NIFTY,

Have anyone noticed the trends of growth of indian share markets especially BSE's SENSEX??

i was noticing the trend this time(when US Stocks are reeling under reign of bears from last one year (oficially..) the reason for growth of BSE SENSEX this time(at the levels of 16700..presently) is cent percent indian ie this time indian stock markets have increased because of pure indian investor's.

ok let me explain this with respect to FDI's last time when indian share markets were hovering at 16000 levels the conversion price of US $ was at 45 IN|R for one US $ (if i am not wrong) and when SENSEX touched the 21000 levels US $ was at 39 INR/$ which clearly depicts that previous year's stock rally was due to increased Foreign direct investments in indian businesses and Stocks how ever this is not the case this time around

I may also strengthen this by comparing the US $ price wrto INR this time, SENSEX has crossed 16700 levels but still US $ is hovering about 48.48INR/$ so indian investors have invested a lot of their hard earned money into indian share markets this time around and that too from long term investment point of view may be investor's are waiting for the time when US institutional investors would come back to indian markets and this would be time when indian investor's would sell off their shares and earned huge profits from it. and if US$ starts weakening then it is clear indicaion about foreign currency flowing into indian markets.

So long term investor's can buy realty stocks, IT stocks or banking stocks and may sell them when FDI starts coming into BSE SENSEX or NIFTY or any other regional stock markets of india. and according to my prediction indian markets will touch new highs when US $ would come again at INR40 levels.

Small Caps and Mid Caps perform better then SENSEX

(20/5/09 - SENSEX updates) - The mid-cap and small-cap indices today significantly outperformed the benchmark index Sensex with as many as 117 small-cap stocks and 14 mid-cap stocks touching their upper circuit limits at the Bombay Stock Exchange.

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The BSE mid-cap index gained over six per cent to settle at 4,673 points, while the small-cap index ended up 8.86 per cent at 5,208.18 points.

According to the data available on the BSE website, as many as 117 stocks from the 465 shares in the small-cap index and 14 stocks out of the total of 221 shares in the mid-cap index hit their respective upper circuit limits today.

"Investors are making value buys into midcaps and small-cap stocks which have turned attractive, while the blue chip stocks became overbought and witnessed profit booking today," Geojit BNP Paribas Financial Services Research head Alex Mathew said.

The 30-share bellwether index Sensex today lost 241 points to close at 14,060, after touching an intra-day high of 14,405.51.

Some of the mid-cap shares which surged and got struck in their upper limit include --realty firm Omaxe (gained 20 per cent), Godrej Industries (10 per cent), Akruti City (5 per cent), Indiabulls (5 per cent) and KEC International (10 per cent).

The mid-cap and small-cap indice track the performance of companies with relatively smaller market capitalisation than the blue chip firms.

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The circuit limits, both upper and lower, are set by the exchange from time to time as a price containment measure beyond which trading would not be allowed in a scrip till the prices are normal or limits are reset.

The circuit limits in stocks are set for a particular scrip by the exchange to limit their movement to five per cent, 10 per cent and 20 per cent, either up or down.

The circuit limits are set to regulate manipulative or one way price drugging of particular shares mainly having smaller marketcaps.

The small-cap stocks which hit their upper circuit limits include- Raymond Ltd , Unity Infra, Bharati Shipyard, Madhucon Projects and United Breweries Holdings.

Sensex will cross 15,000 level tomorrow

BSE's SENSEX is likely to cross the 15,000 level tomorrow and may hit the first upper circuit of 10 per cent as the upbeat market sentiment may attract retail investors to cash in on the bullish phase, analysts said.

Major market players were of the opinion that today's rally of nearly 20 per cent suggests the market might gather momentum in coming sessions amid picking up of capital inflows by foreign funds, and any support from retail investors would place the key-index beyond 15,000 points levels soon.

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"Market may see small movement of 500-700 points. It may witness 15,000 mark in intraday trade at which point it may see sell-off," Keynote Research Senior Vice President Nitin A Khandkar said.

After a sea-change in the market scenario, speculators would also run to cover up their pending short positions on fears of further upsurge in the share prices.

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"Investors who could not take part in the rally today may try to reap gains tomorrow," a NSE broker Rajeev Mallik said adding there were chances of the market hitting a 10 per cent upper circuit in early trade tomorrow. And if this happens, the barometer would be at around 15,500 points without taking much time, he said.

Many of the analysts feel the 30-share benchmark may touch the 15,000 level if the rally continues tomorrow, with some of them not ruling out that an upper circuit breaker might be hit again.

source economictimes

Sensex may fall to 11450 if 11750 is breached

One of the reputed securities firm advises investors to be a gradual investor at major support levels like 3510 and 3350 on the Nifty with a medium term view in mind. On intra-day basis, it expects the Sensex to trip to 11450 if it fails to hold on to 11750 support. Here one can take fresh long trades and make partial investments in the market.

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“The market remained in a very narrow range through out the week with a huge volatility inside the range. This suggests us that the market is at paused levels and is deciding which side the go. However, the break of range on the "lower side" will readjust the prices of many index heavy weights and may strengthen the current on going trend of the market. On failure to do so and upward break out may compel long traders to trade long with a high risk in the market.

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Here we are calling it "high risk" for long traders because, the risk reward ratio is not suitable to trade long above 3700/ 12300 levels in the near term as the confidence levels may below above those levels. If we take the reading of major oscillators then we may say that they are diverging negatively to the price. Second, the prices are at their major resistance levels without any major correction since 3300 levels. Third the final countdown to the current elections will start and that will keep the sentiment mixed at higher levels. And last but not least is that the world markets are also on the verge of completion of the current rally as they are also near to their major resistance levels and are due for temporary correction in the near term.

19/3/09 - BSE, NSE surpasses key psycological checkpoints (levels)

After a firm opening taking cues from global shores, investors took to profit booking at higher levels. Sentiment worsened after inflation eased close to zero -- a sharp slide towards deflationary territory. The annual rate of inflation fell by as much as 200 basis points to a historic low of 0.44 percent for the week ended March 7 against 2.43 percent for the week before.

However, the silver lining to the fall in inflation rate was that the central bank may take some steps soon to help lower the cost of credit for the corporate sector and push demand, which helped lift sentiment. A positive opening on the European bourses also lent support.

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“Investors were clearly looking at booking profits at short intervals. The Nifty is now trading in a range of 2825-2750. On the upside, the index faces resistance around 2800-2830 levels while the support is around 2750-2740 levels. If the Nifty falls below 2750, then a correction right upto 2675 seems possible,” said Manas Jaiswal, senior technical analyst at Emkay Shares and Stock Brokers.

National Stock Exchange’s Nifty ended above the crucial level of 2800; at 2807.15, up 0.45 per cent or 12.85 points. The index moved in a range of 2822.25 and 2771.35. Bombay Stock Exchange’s Sensex settled at 9,001.75, up 25.07 points or 0.28 per cent. The index swung in a 100-point band through the day.

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The broader market also lost steam during the course of the day but held onto gains. BSE Midcap Index ended 0.52 per cent higher and BSE Smallcap Index was up 1.08 per cent.

Among frontline counters, Sterlite Industries (4.18%), HDFC (2.53%), Tata Consultancy Services (1.62%), Maruti Suzuki (1.7%) and Sun Pharmaceuticals (2.33%) posted modest gains, helping the indices crawl back into the positive territory.

Larsen & Toubro (-4.14%), BHEL (-3.15%), Tata Motors (-2.75%), Reliance Communications (-2.03%) and Mahindra & Mahindra (-1.89%) remained under pressure.

Sectorwise, realty, technology and banking stocks led the upmove while capital goods and auto stocks ended with losses. Market breadth on BSE showed 1354 advances against 1105 declines.

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