Sensex may fall to 11450 if 11750 is breached

One of the reputed securities firm advises investors to be a gradual investor at major support levels like 3510 and 3350 on the Nifty with a medium term view in mind. On intra-day basis, it expects the Sensex to trip to 11450 if it fails to hold on to 11750 support. Here one can take fresh long trades and make partial investments in the market.

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“The market remained in a very narrow range through out the week with a huge volatility inside the range. This suggests us that the market is at paused levels and is deciding which side the go. However, the break of range on the "lower side" will readjust the prices of many index heavy weights and may strengthen the current on going trend of the market. On failure to do so and upward break out may compel long traders to trade long with a high risk in the market.

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Here we are calling it "high risk" for long traders because, the risk reward ratio is not suitable to trade long above 3700/ 12300 levels in the near term as the confidence levels may below above those levels. If we take the reading of major oscillators then we may say that they are diverging negatively to the price. Second, the prices are at their major resistance levels without any major correction since 3300 levels. Third the final countdown to the current elections will start and that will keep the sentiment mixed at higher levels. And last but not least is that the world markets are also on the verge of completion of the current rally as they are also near to their major resistance levels and are due for temporary correction in the near term.