BSE | NIFTY looks @ Lok Sabha elections hoping of turnaround

The stock market is riding a global rally and is hoping a major party wins a strong hand at coming elections, but could be beaten back if a One out of six stocks beat Sensex fractious group of parties including Communists gains influence at the polls.

Investors are pricing victory for a coalition led by either the ruling Congress or Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) when the world's largest democracy goes to polls between April 16 and May 13 against a backdrop of slowing growth.

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But cracks in the two main national coalitions have raised fears that a "Third Front" could tip the balance of power, which market watchers believe could pull down stocks by between 15 to 30 per cent from current levels.

"Developments in politics seem to be increasing the probability of very fragmented parliament, which could spoil chances for a post-election recovery in markets as well," Morgan Stanley analyst Ridham Desai said in a recent note.

The benchmark 30-share BSE index fell more than 52 per cent in 2008, a record fall, and lost ground at the start of 2009. The index looks to have found a footing since early March, rising 9 per cent in the month on hopes the worst may have passed for the world economy.

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That was enough to see the market finish the March quarter up 0.6 per cent, its first quarterly rise since the end of 2007. It rose another 2 per cent on Wednesday to close at 9,901.99

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